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Wednesday, July 18, 2012

Interesting trend of Obama's Job Approval

As I have mentioned before I like to check out the polls at RealClearPolitics.com regularly.  The people at this website take polls from a variety of sources and averages them together.  However, you must understand that not all polls are equal.  When polling the public pollsters will ask the person if they are a registered voter (or not) or if they are likely to be voting this election (or not).  Normally we don't really concern ourselves with these differences, but in an election year they become more and more important.

I did some compiling of some poll data and found an interesting trend in the President's Job Approval Rating poll that I think is being missed by many of the news sites by only looking at the LIKELY VOTER polls.

What I found was that the Presidents numbers are much worse and also trending to even worse. Below is a graph showing the running average of all poll numbers from January 2012 of "Likely Voters".  




As you can see the President's Job Approval Number among those who will most likely be voting is not good and is trending towards lower and lower.  I think this shows how most Americans REALLY feel about what he is doing.











































Friday, July 13, 2012

Polling data: unsure and outliers

I often go to Real Clear Politics website to get the latest opinion polls on Obama's approval rating. I think they do an admiral job at trying to remain bi-partisan in their reporting of the many polls taken on politics and the president. However, there are two things I have come to conclude:

1) Some polling groups come out with some WILDLY out of norm responses. 
2) There are still a lot of "not sure" people out there.

Out of norm polling data
As to the out of norm responses, what I mean here is that in the world of statistics you have what if commonly referred to as "outliers".  These are statistical anomalies that should be thrown out if their are outside of the statistical norm. Let me first say, there is no mathematical algorithm for determining an outlier and it can be quite subjective (you know it when you see it).  For example, lets say we have the following numbers reported: +2, +1,0,-2,-3,+10.  The statistical variation of the first 5 is  14/6 = 2.33 so therefore +10 is outside of the variation since its closes neighbor is a difference of 7 (10-3).  It should be considered to be outlier and therefore rejected as a acceptable poll.    About a month ago, such an anomaly did occur as MOST of the polls for Obama were negative (or trending negative), yet out of the blue, Bloomberg showed a +9 rating for the president.  

Below is a screenshot from RealClearPolitics website showing a sampling of the various polls taken around the 6/15-6/18 time frame.



As you can see, most of the polls at that time showed approximately a -1 rating for Obama.  But LO AND BEHOLD,  Bloomberg comes to the rescue and gives Obama a +9 bump, sending the average from a negative (-2/5 or -0.4) to a positive level of  +7/6 (  1.16 ).  (Personally, I hope someone in the Obama administration sent the Bloomberg polling group some flowers and candy in thanks for their gift to the president) 

Not sure ??
The next issue I see that is not taken into account is the high number of "not sure".  Frankly at this point (3.5 years into his administration) we as Americans should have SOME OPINION as to how we think the President is doing.   To me, you get a WHOLE different view when you take into account the "not sure" and place them in the "disapprove" category.

Below is a snapshot from www.realclearpolitics.com on Friday 7/13/2012 at 10:00 am PST






If you took at missing "not sure" as "Disapprove" you would get a rating of  -5.5 instead of -1.3 (a much more clearer view on how the President is REALLY doing).






Note: In my opinion, all Presidential polls should only offer Approve or Disapprove as their only two choices.  We cannot be all "mamby-pamby" when it comes to the direction our country is going.  Either you are FOR HIM or you are AGAINST HIM.  So .... MAKE A CHOICE!

In conclusion, let me say I am not putting down Real Clear Politics fr their coverage of the President's approval rating.   Like I said in the beginning, overall I think they do some good work and try not be partisan in their approach. and so they just take the numbers that are given them.   But we as citizens need to understand statistics better and see that there is often more to the numbers than just averages and spreads.  We need to use also our gut instincts as well







Monday, July 9, 2012

Would you vote for an ATHEIST?

There was a survey done by Gallup and the results were very disheartening as 54% said YES they would vote for an atheist.

The idea here is we would vote for atheist if they would return our country to its former level of "prosperity" (i.e. - I have a job, a house , a car, vacations, and all the medicine I need).  54% are willing to sell their souls in return for all of those things fore-mentioned.

Here again we see how Americans have been con-ed into the idea that religion is "worthless" and "unnecessary" in a modern world and all the matters is "the Dow is UP and unemployment is DOWN".   We have also been duped by the historians who have re-written history and told us that the founding fathers were all "deists" and that this is synonymous with "atheist" when it was not the case at all.  Writers like Richard Dawkins have spewed their ideology that atheists are more trustworthy and moral than the best of the religiously-minded.   They believe that they can be "Good without God" and some ancient code handed down by priests and rabbis is unnecessary and ridiculous.

But really!  You would rather trust a person who believes that he only has these few short years here on earth to accumulate all that he can and enjoy as much as he can before he dissolves back into dirt only to be used by some flower sitting next to his headstone.   You would trust the person who has no one to be held accountable to once he ends this life?  A person who believes he can be as immoral as he wants to be and that he only needs to hide his immorality enough to go undetected by those around him until he dies.  That he is UN-accountable to anyone?

The word to look at here is : accountable.  This words root word is of course "account" and is synonymous with bookkeeping (a tracking of debits and credits).   If we know someone is keeping score we have a different outlook on life and it alters the choices we make.  Children make different choices if they KNOW Mom and Dad will find out (or might find out).   They may walk away from drugs if they know Mom and Dad might drug test them when they get home from a party or a sleep-over.  Children might also alter what they say or share on-line if the KNOW Mom and Dad can see what they say and do.

Atheists refute this either of two ways.

The first way is they make the absurd claim that man is basically good and is evolving to becoming even better.  We have "evolved" our way to goodness and morality and have no more need for a "God".  We have in effect become God.  We are all powerful (Have you see what we can do with an atom?).  We are all knowing (We've discovered the Higgs-Boson particle!).   We can be everywhere at the same time (have you seen all the cameras we have around the world and our drones flying over head?).  We can know your thoughts (Okay, we can't read your thoughts, but we can read your emails and your facebook pages and get a good idea of what you are thinking). We are all good (Have you seen how much money we have thrown at defeating poverty?).  But the truth is we are not evolving to goodness, but instead we are becoming more and more evil.  We can spew more lies to more people than ever before.  We can kill more children with more efficiency than Hitler would have imagined possible. We can edit video and make the unreal.. real, a lie into the truth.   We can wipe out peoples savings and steal peoples credit with a few clicks of a mouse. 

The second argument they use is that we will hold each other accountable and we have no need for an invisible "boogey-man" to hold us in line.   Atheists claim that the news media will hold our politicians accountable and make sure we the voters know what they are doing.  But looking at this administration and how it treats the mainstream media as its personal lapdogs (attack dogs when they need them) we see this just is not the case. They hide behind terms like "Executive Privilege"  and sealed documents labeled "Confidential" and our media complacently bends to their will as if under a "Jedi-mind-control" (these are not the memos you are looking for). 

I am not saying that we need to only vote for Bible-thumping-Praise-Jesus-born-again politicians, but we do need to find those individuals who respect faith and have a healthy fear of their future judgment.  People who know that no one ever "gets away with murder" (or any other offense for that matter).   Maybe they won't ask "What would Jesus do?" but at least they might ask "Will God hold me accountable for this and be pleased with me?"

This is a test... this is ONLY a test...

Kids today no longer have to sit through the 10 seconds of irritating off-key notes with a person telling them that "this is a test ... this is ONLY a test..." as the FCC no longer requires TV stations to participate in this protocol.

I bring this up because as we watch the lies coming out of the White House lately we wonder how they can be so bald-faced in their approach.  For example, recently a White House official claimed on the air that they "never used the word TAX when making their argument to the Supreme Court", yet the court record is FILLED with them referring to it as a TAX and NOT A PENALTY.  In another example, they were confronted with making false statements about Mitt Romney that had been debunked by CNN and the Washington Post, they continued in their lie and would not admit they made a mistake.

How can they be so audacious and blatant in their lying?

Because back in 2008 they TESTED the media to see how COMPLACENT they would be if confronted with an absolute bald-faced-lie.  See the following video:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E7QxgN5YegE

(go to 1:50 in the video)

So Obama claimed that his parents getting together was because of the Selma Alabama marches. But there's a big problem with his story.  The Selma marches occurred in 1965 and Obama was born in 1961.. 4 years EARLIER!

What reporter watching this was thinking ... "Wait a minute!  That can't be possible!".  Yet no one reported it.  ABC,CBC, NBC all went silent.  They knew it was a lie and divulging it would end the Obama campaign and they were not going to do it... no matter how much coverage they would get by showing it to the public.

This was a TEST of the media convictions (or lack thereof), and their complacency with lies and corruption and sadly enough, they passed the with flying colors.   Having shown that they would not make an issue of a lie so black as black, they knew the media would not reveal any lie of lighter shades of gray. To me, I don't see how today's "reporters" (they should be called "talking-point-messengers") can look themselves in the mirror and have any sense of self-respect.  If I were in their shoes I would be saying "I am nothing more than a mouth piece for the DNC and the radical left" and I would need to be kept away from guns and objects with sharp points out of fear of a giving myself a self-inflicted-mortal-wound.

Let's hope that some reporters somewhere regains their self-respect and decides to report the truth no matter where it leads.



When pigs fly....

Well 2012 might be the year that everything that was impossible ... will become possible!  I say this not because of the upcoming election or the Myan calendar, but instead because of a recent change in the Department of Transportation (DOT) to allow PIGS to fly commercial airlines.

See article:

http://radio.foxnews.com/toddstarnes/top-stories/dot-wants-to-allow-pigs-horses-onboard-jetliners.html

Now all those times when we would say something would happen....WHEN PIGS FLY!  are about to all come true at once. 

But of course not all of those predictions will be bad either:

1) We will have a Mormom president ... WHEN PIGS FLY!
2) We will cut entitlements ... WHEN PIGS FLY!
3) We will get rid of the IRS .. WHEN PIGS FLY!
4) We will get a Balanced Budget Amendment passed ... WHEN PIGS FLY!
5) We will overthrow Roe-vs-Wade ... WHEN PIGS FLY!
6) Hollywood would become a bastion of conservatism .... WHEN PIGS FLY!

But on a serious note, just what is the DOT doing allowing HORSES and PIGS on commercial airlines?   Have you seen the rates for flying commercial today?  Does the DOT think that making airlines provide services to accommodate passengers with pigs or horses to board these flights will NOT affect the price we all pay?  The airline industry as a whole already is depressed and having troubles and now to add this to their list of requirements will only cause more harm than good.


Thursday, July 5, 2012

Freedom is our ONLY natural resource

When you look at the United States of America and compare it to other countries you realize that FREEDOM is the only "natural resource" that WE HAVE that other countries simply don't have. We have embodied in our Constitution that the INDIVIDUAL is more important than the government.  Other forms of government (socialism and communism) put society and the "community" over the individual, but not here.  That is why our Declaration of Independence says, "all men are created equal", and lays that belief at the feet of  "the creator".

Other countries have oil, gas, coal, iron, copper, gold, diamonds, etc all in great supply.  But all of that doesn't matter which is why so many flock from those countries of "wealth of material" to our country with its "wealth of freedom".  The freedom to believe what you want to believe, say what you want you want to say, own what you want what you want to own. 

But sadly, that freedom is being squandered by some and destroyed by others.  Some are trading in their freedom for comfort.  As Ben Franklin said, "Those desire security over freedom deserve neither freedom or security".  Many would rather receive a handout from the government and become their slaves rather than work their own way and provide their own security.  Many others would rather receive "free healthcare" that will ultimately reduce the length of their own life rather than pay for their own. 

Let's not squander the one resource our country has: FREEDOM.  Let us reclaim that freedom and take back our country from those who fear and loath it.  But remember, FREEDOM IS NOT FREE!  We cannot wait on the sidelines for someone else to contribute money to the candidates we support. We cannot wait for the public schools and our public school teachers to change their ways and teach our child to love our country.  If we must pay money to send them to private schools and forgo trips to Hawaii or Florida then that is what we must do.  Our kids may want to spend the summer on the beach, but if they will get a better appreciation for our country by visiting historical sites, then that we must do too.  If talking to our "friends and neighbors" about the corruption in Washington and why we must not re-elect Obama to a second term will cause you to lose "friends and neighbors" then SO BE IT! 

Our Founding Fathers put their lives and the lives of their children on the line because by signing the Declaration of Independence they were signing their own death warrants. If we lost, they would have been executed by being drawn-and-quartered (disemboweled while still alive) for high treason against the king.  Their families would have lost all their property and would have been destitute for the rest of their lives. They risked everything to give us what we have today. 

So we must also.

Tuesday, July 3, 2012

Other things government should make us purchase

Here are a few other things the government should make us buy and why

1) Home Computer
     Why:  Eventually we will all gave to use one to make it in this world and our children need to
                learn as soon as possible.  Also, if everyone had a computer, we can make the fed gov.
                more "green" since we could get rid of all paper documents.

2) An American made electric car (ahemm.. GM Volt)
     Why:  Get us off of ugly fossil fuels (but of course we will still be generating most of the power
                from oil/gas burning power plants).  and stimulate the US economy.

3) Life Insurance
      Why:   Just as we all pay taxes,.... we all eventually die and therefore we should all have to make
                  sure we take care of our families.

4) Buy home safety equipment
      Why:  We all need to be prepared for ANY kind of emergency.  Flood, Fire, Tornado, Hurricane,
                 Pestilence, Plague, Civil Unrest, Zombies, ...


I would like to hear from you.   What other areas do YOU think the government should force us to buy products in for our own good and WHY ?

Monday, July 2, 2012

Everyone MUST buy a gun!

To those on the left who think it's okay for the government to tell you that you MUST buy health insurance or pay a tax penalty.  Let me pose this idea.  How would you feel if Republicans under the 2nd and 10th amendment told you that you HAVE TO BUY A GUN OR PAY A HEFTY TAX PENALTY!

We could argue that with the rise of terrorism and crime, an armed citizenry is the best possible solution to this problem. 

The gun industry would LOVE this law since it would force everyone to buy their product.  Congress could also:

1) Legislate the exact kind of gun and ammunition to be purchased (we don't have people who know nothing about guns buying the wrong kind of gun).   Occasionally the gun style might be changed so citizens would need to purchase new guns and ammo every 5 years.  (stale ammo can be bad you know).

2) Require classes to learn how to use the gun so that every citizen is prepared.  These classes would need to be re-taken every 3 years (just to make sure you are up on the latest methods).  Of course these classes would need to have fully trained government instructors leading them and they must be administered at official government training facilities that are equipped with the latest in target ranges, police-style shoot-no-shoot-training grounds, computer simulators, not to mention swimming pools, sauna's, weight-rooms, fine-dining for the government workers to use.

3) Require all citizens to join the NRA and display their NRA badge proudly at all times on their vehicle.

4) Require all citizens to go to a gun range 2 times a year to show they can hit the broad side of a barn. 

5) Require all gun owners to purchase government approved safes for storing the gun in when not in use.  These safes will have to be inspected from time to time to insure they are locked and have adequate child safety guards.   Lock numbers will need to be registered with the federal government in the small likelihood that the FBI or ATF should need to access said safe in the future.

6) If you cannot afford to buy a gun you will be given one at no cost to you by the federal government.  The money to pay for these guns will come from the tax-penalties of those who chose NOT to have a gun on their premises.

7) To insure the public safety of people who would be visiting homes that do NOT have a gun, the owners must have a large sticker applied to their front door informing people entering the home that: "ATTENTION:  TO THOSE ENTERING THIS HOUSE, THE OWNER OF THIS HOME IS A LIBERAL AND DOES NOT LIKE HAVING GUNS IN HIS HOME.  THIS HOME THEREFORE DOES NOT HAVE ANY GUNS THAT COULD BE USED TO PROTECT YOU IN THE ADVENT OF A BURGLARY OR HOME INVASION"

With that said, how do you feel about ObamaCare and the ability of the Federal Government to force you to buy a product?

Friday, June 29, 2012

Why Holder needs to be held in contempt

I have been watching the case of Fast-And-Furious (FAF) being played out in Congress for some time now.  The left of course has called this a "witch hunt", but their argument doesn't hold water because in this case a man is dead.  Shot by a gun that was the product of FAF and therefore it is a criminal investigation.

Many democrats have tried to make the case that "the mexican drug smugglers would have used any gun to kill the border agent and it just HAPPENED to be a gun from FAF.   This argument doesn't hold water either for the following reason.

I am a gun owner and so is my son.  If one of my son's friends came over to the house and stole my son's gun and then went and used it to hold up a liquor store and in the process killed the owner.  The friend would be charged with murder but the case would not stop there.  The police would then also have to investigate HOW he obtained the gun since it was not his in the first place.  They would check the serial number and find it was my son's gun and he would be questioned as to HOW his friend walked off with it and why the gun was not secured in a safe or at least with a trigger lock.  He could be charged with criminal negligence and be fined or even jailed for his involvement in the murder case.  A lawyer could not assert that "It just happened to be his gun..the boy would have used anyone's gun ... it just happened to be his gun".

In the case of FAF, the reason the gun "walked" was because of a stupid ATF program that never should have seen the light of day.  Their recklessness played a major part in the death of the border patrol agent (not to mention many of deaths of Mexican citizens too) and needs to be probed to find out who authorized it.   This is criminal negligence on a grand scale because it's not just 1 gun that walked but 2000 guns in total.

If we citizens must be held responsible for OUR guns, then so also the Federal Government needs to be held accountable for their guns.

Thursday, June 28, 2012

What is written on the backside of the Constitution?

If you remember the Disney movie "National Treasure" the main character convinces others that there is a secret code written on the backside of the Declaration of Independence left there by the founding fathers to provide directions to a hidden treasure.  After watching our Government in action this past month I think we need to have some historians do some research to look into what is written on the backside of the Constitution to see if there are some extra Federal Powers written on the back that we were not aware of because lately they seem to be finding more and more powers.

First the President finds that he has the power to IGNORE previous past laws because he doesn't find them to be fair to a certain group of people.  This new power gives him unlimited ability to reach back in time and VETO/CHANGE previously signed laws. This must be meant to save time going back through Congress to modify laws already on the books. (This must be the Executive  Non-Compliance Clause )

Second the President finds he has the power to stop all inquiry by Congress into his administration by summoning the power of Executive Privilege.  Even though this power is supposed to ONLY be for discussions between he and his cabinet, he has now exerted it to be a power around his entire administration. (This must be the Executive Act With Impunity Clause ).  Its too bad Richard Nixon didn't have knowledge of this clause, he could have finished out his second term.

Third, the Supreme Court found that it has the power to edit or re-write laws to make them Constitutional rather than reject them and send them back to Congress to be fixed.  This was done in ObamaCare today to change the wording of the law such that the word PENALTY is replaced with TAX. ( This must be the  Supreme Courts: Search-and-Replace Edit Clause )

Finally the Supreme Court said that Congress can penalize people in the form of taxes for inactivity or any activity they want to encourage, but that if such taxation becomes out of control, the Supreme Court will step in and put a stop to it.  So it will be the finally arbiter of whether we are over burden with taxes.  (Is that under the Supreme Taxes Burden Us Clause ?)

We need to call our Congressmen and tell them we need this investigated immediately. Our nations livelihood is at stake as there may be even MORE powers than we are aware of and have not taken advantage of yet.


Presidential Power to Ignore ???

I was watching the movie "Kramer vs Kramer" (for the first time I must add) and saw the scene where the child decides he doesn't like the dinner Dad has prepared and goes to get the ice cream from the freezer.   During this time, Dad is telling him "Don't take the ice cream out, Don't open up the ice-cream, Don't put that spoonful in your mouth..."   The law is laid down, but the consequence never is so its no wonder the boy takes a bite anyway.  

The recent actions by President Obama to not-enforce certain laws already on the books is nothing more than post-humously vetoing previous passed laws.  After all an unenforced law is the same as a vetoed law.  Like parents that promise to ground there kid the NEXT time he comes home late, but they never do so also would our laws which are ignored. Bush had often asked for the line-item-veto, but I guess Obama has found a better method called "ignore-the-laws-I-don't-like".  Those praising Obama for his "bravery" are ignorant of what will come because this "child" isn't just taking a spoon of ice cream, he is willfully not enforcing a law which WE THE PEOPLE had passed.  That's right WE THE PEOPLE in this case are the parents of this CHILD and he is in open rebellion against OUR WILL.

If a president can ignore (veto) laws passed by other administrations or alter them to meet his own definition of "fairness" we have slammed the door to our government for good.  He has set a new precedent for all future Presidents to make.  Like children in a family who remember every decision that the parents made in the past regarding all their other siblings, so also every future President will ultimately say, "Well Obama did it!".   We must not let this happen to our country.  We must elect politicians who respect the rule of law rather than the law of rule.

What would you say if Mitt Romney becomes president and he decides he is not going to enforce ObamaCare (that is if the Supreme Court hasn't killed it already).  He could make similar arguments about what is "fair" or "right".  Would those who worked hard to pass his bill be "ok" with his decision to ignore it?  Of course not.  They would be mad a hell if that happened. So why is it wrong for us to be mad as hell that this president has ignore our laws?

This president has set a new precedent.  No longer will people be asking if the President will sign the bill or veto the bill.  Instead they will be asking "Will he enforce the bill or ignore it?".



The Stamp Act of 2012

ObamaCare is the "Stamp Act of 2012".

For those not up on their colonial history, the Stamp Act was a direct tax imposed by Great Britian on the colonies that required a special stamped paper (which was embossed) be used on all legal documents, magazines, newspapers and many other types of documents.  This not only was a form of taxes, it also gave them the authority to destroy all documents that failed to use their paper and shutdown their ability to speak freely.  The money collected from this paper was used by British to pay for the soldiers that were quartered in the colonies not to protect them but to keep them in line.  This act, passed in 1765, took several years of enforcement until finally they had enough. 

Like 1765, our government is performing political acrobatics to not use the word "tax" (they think we are so stupid that we will someone say "oh its only a penalty and not a tax...so that's ok).  Like the British Parliament who collected taxes using subterfuge by selling "special government embossed paper", our Federal government is using political subterfuge to sell us a tax as a "penalty for non-action" and the Progressive Supreme Court is now shown us that they are complacent in this.

Also like the Stamp Act, ObamaCare goes beyond your decision to have healthcare or not.  The Stamp Act gave the British the power to control what you read since pamphlets not printed on official paper was burned.  So also, ObamaCare will decide your healthcare benefits and what they can or cannot cover.   If your healthcare does not have the ObamaCare "stamp of approval" it will not be valid and will have to be replaced. 

Finally under the Stamp Act, British soldiers were given the power to enter the colonists homes to search and destroy non-compliant documents.  So also under ObamaCare we have given the government the power to stand between us and our doctors and to look into our personal medical files to insure that we are being under treated or better yet "over treated" in accordance to the federal government guidelines. Our costs are necessarily going to sky-rocket and our coverage will likely go down.



Cowards

Well the Supreme Court did a 180 today on the Constitution.

First they gave themselves the power to re-word legislation.  The took out their pens, crossed out the word PENALTY and replaced it with the word TAX.  Then they said the law was fine and dandy. Their job is to INTERPRET the laws in light of the Constitution, not EDIT them.  If the law is poorly written, they should strike it down and tell Congress to get their act together and make their laws more clear and constitutional.

Secondly, while they said commerce-clause could not be used to tell individuals what to do or buy,  at the same time they gave Congress a green light to tax us to whenever they want to make us do something or not do something.    They then gave them themselves the new power of stopping Congress if the taxes become too burdensome.  So 9 justices are going to determine when the taxes for 300 million people are too heavy?   Where in the Constitution does that power come from? 

The Supreme Court has again shown itself to be nothing but a bunch of COWARDS.  They don't want to offend Congress or the President by striking down their law... so they re-write it.   At the same time they don't want to show to be COWARDS to the American public so they say they will keep Congress from taxing us too much in the future if they use taxes as a way to BULLY the American citizens to do what they want us to do.

Well clearly it is up to US the Americans to get rid of this crappy law before it destroys us.  The stock market plunged today on the ruling (business leaders know this is a BAD LAW and will destroy our economy).   We have a lot of hard work ahead of us and the Supreme Court has indicated that they are not going to help.

It's up to us..... the home of the BRAVE and not the COWARDS.

Wednesday, June 27, 2012

Feedback destroys everything

I learned in my physics and engineering classes that positive feedback ultimately destroys all machines/systems. A classic example is the rock concert feedback that can occur from the microphone to the speakers and back into the microphone.  What happens is a sound of a certain frequency makes it from the microphone to the speakers with a small amount of time-delay such that the wave (now amplified) is in sync with the original sound.  This goes in, gets amplified and goes back the microphone.  We no this happens when we hear that ominous screeching sound which makes us want to cover our ears.  The sound engineers hear this and act fast to stop it by turning off the microphone for a brief time to stop the feedback.  If they don't the concert goers are going to be witnesses to more than a concert as the speakers and amplifiers may explode when they reach their "breaking point".

So why do I bring this up?  Just to give you a physics lesson??   No.

Feedback systems also occur in our society as well, and just like physical systems they too will self-destruct unless we stop them.

The most obvious of these is the system we have in place in our public sector.  Here we have 3 parts (or players).

1) Public sector employees
2) SEIU (union)
3) Politicians.

The process is quite simple:
1) The union works with the politicians to get an INCREASE wages and benefits for their workers
     or to higher MORE workers

2) MORE WAGES results in an MORE DUES collected by the SEIU.

3) MORE DUES allows SEUI  to spend MORE money on the Politicians to get them re-elected. 

4) In thanks for getting them re-elected the politicians must go to step #1

The system will keep increasing wages ==> dues ==> political funding ==> wages until...

BOOM!

It blows up

This is now starting to play out in cities like Stockton California where the city is most likely going to have to go through bankruptcy to end the feedback cycle (for a time being).  Later it will play out at the state level as California is in a similar debt crisis from the same feedback system and is currently 16 billion dollars in the hole.

We need to take advice from a highly respected former President.  No not Ronald Reagan (you would think), but instead  Franklin D Roosevelt who said

This obligation is paramount. Since their own services have to do with the functioning of the Government, a strike of public employees manifests nothing less than an intent on their part to prevent or obstruct the operations of Government until their demands are satisfied. Such action, looking toward the paralysis of Government by those who have sworn to support it, is unthinkable and intolerable

 I think he also saw the stupidity of unions and politicians working together and the destructiveness of it all.

We all must follow Wisconsin's lead in drawing the line with public sector unions and prevent the feedback from destroying our states and eventually our nation.   Wisconsin did it right.  By allowing collective bargaining on NON-WAGE issues, more dues will not be collected by the unions and fed back to the politicians and it effectively stops the feedback loop.

Let's hope California catches on too.






Tuesday, June 26, 2012

Similar case for today


I just thought I would take a look at the Declaration of Independence and do some comparison and contrast with their list of offenses and what we are seeing today.
 
He has refused to pass other laws for the accommodation of large districts of people, unless those people would relinquish the right of representation in the legislature, a right inestimable to them and formidable to tyrants only.
He has called together legislative bodies at places unusual, uncomfortable, and distant from the depository of their public records, for the sole purpose of fatiguing them into compliance with his measures.
He has dissolved representative houses repeatedly, for opposing with manly firmness his invasions on the rights of the people.
   - He sent troops into Libya without any Congressional approval despite the fact that the War 
     Powers Act requires him to get approval if troops are used for more than 30 days.  

He has refused for a long time, after such dissolutions, to cause others to be elected; whereby the legislative powers, incapable of annihilation, have returned to the people at large for their exercise; the state remaining in the meantime exposed to all the dangers of invasion from without, and convulsions within.
He has endeavored to prevent the population of these states; for that purpose obstructing the laws for naturalization of foreigners; refusing to pass others to encourage their migration hither, and raising the conditions of new appropriations of lands.

He has obstructed the administration of justice, by refusing his assent to laws for establishing judiciary powers.

   - Not appointing a independent counsel to look into Fast-And-Furious and the death of a 
     border patrol agent
   - Claimed Executive Privilege when AG Eric Holder was going to be held in contempt of
     Congress by not turning over emails in regard to the case.  Executive Privilege only 
     protects the discussions between the President and his aids, but not his aids with their 
     subordinates. 
  - Doing this only obstructs the investigation from reaching its goal.


He has made judges dependent on his will alone, for the tenure of their offices, and the amount and payment of their salaries.

He has erected a multitude of new offices, and sent hither swarms of officers to harass our people, and eat out their substance.

   - Passed more regulations to harass business (more in 3 years than Bush or Clinton did in 8)
   - Idaho family fined $34k a day until they put the land back as a wetland (which was caused
      by a clogged drainage ditch.  Supreme Court ruled in the family's favor 9-0
   - EEOC charged a Lutheran church with a wrongful firing even though 50 years of legal 
     precedence says that the 1st amendment gives churches freedom in  these cases. 
      Supreme Court ruled in favor of the church 9-0

He has kept among us, in times of peace, standing armies without the consent of our legislature.
He has affected to render the military independent of and superior to civil power.

   - Passed a bill that says if an American citizen is suspected of terrorism he can be taken by the
     military (even on US soil) and held indefinitely without trial 

He has combined with others to subject us to a jurisdiction foreign to our constitution, and unacknowledged by our laws; giving his assent to their acts of pretended legislation:
For quartering large bodies of armed troops among us:
For protecting them, by mock trial, from punishment for any murders which they should commit on the inhabitants of these states:
For cutting off our trade with all parts of the world:
For imposing taxes on us without our consent:
   - ObamaCare taxes people under the disguise of calling it a "penalty".

For depriving us in many cases, of the benefits of trial by jury:
   - 2 US citizens have been executed via bombs dropped from drones for being terrorists.
     This was done without a trial.
   - Mentioned before, law passed that allows military to arrest and detain any citizen who
     suspected of terrorism without a trial.

For transporting us beyond seas to be tried for pretended offenses:
For abolishing the free system of English laws in a neighboring province, establishing therein an arbitrary government, and enlarging its boundaries so as to render it at once an example and fit instrument for introducing the same absolute rule in these colonies:

For taking away our charters, abolishing our most valuable laws, and altering fundamentally the forms of our governments:
   - By not enforcing current immigration law he has effectively "abolished" those laws from the
     books.

For suspending our own legislatures, and declaring themselves invested with power to legislate for us in all cases whatsoever.
He has abdicated government here, by declaring us out of his protection and waging war against us.
   - They have told Arizona Govenor that they will not be assisting with the processing of illegal
     immigrants found in their state.  This means that ICE will not be providing any help with 
     the determination of who is here legally and illegally.  They are "out of his protection"

He has plundered our seas, ravaged our coasts, burned our towns, and destroyed the lives of our people.
He is at this time transporting large armies of foreign mercenaries to complete the works of death, desolation and tyranny, already begun with circumstances of cruelty and perfidy scarcely paralleled in the most barbarous ages, and totally unworthy the head of a civilized nation.
He has constrained our fellow citizens taken captive on the high seas to bear arms against their country, to become the executioners of their friends and brethren, or to fall themselves by their hands.
He has excited domestic insurrections amongst us, and has endeavored to bring on the inhabitants of our frontiers, the merciless Indian savages, whose known rule of warfare, is undistinguished destruction of all ages, sexes and conditions.
   - By sending assault rifles to Mexico in Fast and Furious he has worsened conditions there
     with the drug cartels and the war they wage with their own people and the people in our 
     border states
   - He stood with OWS crowd and declared them to be good and well meaning citizens 
     despite the fact that people were being raped and murdered in their groups and causing
     mayhem in the streets of New York.  
   - He injected himself into a murder investigation in Florida and caused more violence.

Friday, June 22, 2012

Controlling the weather

Somewhere along the line we got the idea that we can control our own economic destiny.  Maybe its just a natural outcome of our ability to control our bodies medically with science and technology.   We mastered virus' and bacteria.  We mastered outer space and the moon.  We mastered the atom and nuclear energy.  Now we thought we had mastered the economy.  Those in power I think imagine themselves standing in some large control room with lots of knobs, buttons and levers controlling our economy, when in fact they truly have very little power at all.  Those who think they can control the economy must also think they can control the world's weather too.  But like the weather, there are too many factors (countries, politics, religion, languages, natural disasters, disease ...) and too many unpredictable inputs (6 billion people to start with).  But this has never stopped man from thinking too highly of himself. 

They thought they had found the magic solution to all of our problems by controlling interest rates.  They thought that by lowering rates they can stimulate the economy and by raising rates they can slow its assent.  But there in lies the problem.  When the economy begins to cook, few want the party to end and so hitting the brakes is difficult to do.  One the other side, when when the economy shows signs of slowing, they are often to quick to lower the rates and often cause areas of our economy to bubble.  This is because ONE KNOB affects too many areas or sectors at the same time and therefore while some areas may need lower rates, others are not.

The other problem with our managing the economy, is we artificially create non-recessionary periods.  These are not "bubbles" in the classic sense, but are periods of false prosperity with no need to put money away into savings.  We have seen this happen starting in the 90's.   After returning from a very short recession (mostly caused by the Gulf War), we never saw another major recession for about 16 years.  Even after 9/11 which we thought would be a major hit to our economy, very little happened.  We thought we had become bullet-proof and our level of savings over the last couple of decades deteriorated to less than 0.  Anytime the economy looked shaky, down went the interest rates to stir the markets.

In the past, recessions and booms were as common as winter and summer.  Our parents saved their money in the good times because they knew "winter" was coming.  We took those slow downs as just facts of life... like gravity.   What goes up MUST come down. Those savings also became the foundation from which future business growth could emerge.   But now since we held off the downturn for so long people thought saving money for a rainy day (or winter) was ridiculous.  It was like we were controlling the weather and winter was a thing of the past. But now look where most Americans are today.  Huge debts.   No jobs.  And most of all, NO SAVINGS.   This may become the perfect storm of economic disasters as it will be a double whammy to our economy.  First, people will have no savings to live off of when the stimulus bubble pops and second business will hot have enough capital to restart.

The answer is to tell those who think they know what to do to "Please step away from the machine" or "Get your bloody hands of the control knobs".   You see the machine they are manipulating not only has too many input factors, they have no clue as to how the machine works inside.  They say "Lets try this!"  and then when the machine makes a large screeching sound, they say "OK, Let's NOT do that!".   But its US inside the machine that is making the large screeching sound.   We are the ones being hurt... not them.   We are paying the price for their arrogance.

Tuesday, June 19, 2012

Capitalism is human compatible

As a person who works in the computer industry, I know all too much about "compatibility".   Software must be compatible with the hardware that its being run on.   Apple software does not run on PC's unless it has been "ported" to that hardware platform. You can try to run it, but most likely you will get some ugly error message informing you that the program cannot be run.  If someone told you that if you just keep pushing the Apple-CD into the PC over and over again that eventually the PC would relent and execute the Apple program you would tell that person "Are you NUTS? That is the most ridiculous idea I have ever heard of!"

Capitalism, Socialism, Communism are all economic ideals which are played out on society/countries.  Like software they must be compatible with us in order to work otherwise, like shoving the Apple-CD into the PC, its just a waste of time and energy.

So are they compatible with us as humans?

To answer that we must ask ourselves "How were we built and how do we function?".  If you believe in evolution, you will have to say we were assembled using the "survival of the fittest method".  3 Billion years of try-and-fail, try-and-fail have culminated to bring US to the table. 3 Billion years of evolution built on GREED has been engrained in our DNA and made us who we are.  3 Billion years left dinosaurs on the dust-heap-of-biology and allowed smaller, nimbler, smarter creatures to move on. 

To illustrate this point I will use a study done by the University of Illinois in which that tool groups of subjects in to watch a marketing movie.  While watching the movie they gave them each buckets of popcorn (carefully weighed to be the same) and then gathered the buckets after the movie to see how much was left.  What they found was that no matter what size bucket was given the subjects, they always finished all of the popcorn.  When asked why this is the case, the professor replied that it's in our DNA to consume the food that is in front of us because our bodies think it may be our last meal for some time to come.  Its a "eat or be eaten" mentality that comes from billions of years of evolution.  In other words, we are genetically predisposed to be greedy because it helps us survive. 

Socialism and Communism both start from a premise that we as a humans can be made to be altruistic and that we will look out for others first and us second.  It means that we must be willing to give up our own needs to provide for others despite the possibility that it might mean our own destruction.  Now let's say that through some miracle of evolution a small percentage (.00001%) of the population have somehow overcome their genetic predisposition for greed and have become "altruistic" instead.  These people would be competing with the other 99.999999% of the population (nearly 6 billion people) for survival.  Their chances of surviving would practically ZERO for all intents and purposes. Therefore for socialism/communism to work it must go COUNTER to what DNA is telling us to do and the only way it can accomplish that goal is through force or coercion. Socialism uses coercion to entice people to its viewpoint.  By offering people unlimited "goodies" such as free healthcare, free college education, free retirement at age 50, etc.  All of these paid in full by the rich, even though the rich don't have nearly enough money to pay for all of this. Communism on the other hand does not use coercion but instead must use force (usually after a bloody coup) to achieve its demands. But forced altruism is an oxymoron and therefore must be rejected.

Capitalism on the other hand is built on the premise of greed and the idea that the individual comes first and society second.  In capitalism, greed benefits all because it is only rewarded when its customers are benefited as well.  Its says "go and gather as much for yourselves as you can" but in doing so you have helped others as well without knowing it.  Consider the squirrels gathering nuts for the winter.  They gather for themselves and not others.  They hoard nuts in many areas around their dens to hold them over until the spring.  They don't gather for other squirrels.  But in the process, some of the nuts that they have buried will be forgotten or lost and so will turn in to trees themselves for future squirrels to gather from.  So also it is with capitalism, where millionaires and billionaires gather more then they need and in the process the money they have amassed becomes loans and investments for future business to spring from. Often people who wish to demonize the wealthy portray them as entities that store their cash away in large wall mounted vaults or safes, thus squandering it for themselves when other more worthy individuals could be using it.  This is far from reality as most wealthy people re-invest their wealthy seeking more in return (that is how they got wealthy in the first place). 

Also with capitalism, both the producer and the consumer is able to satisfy their greed (yes, it's not just the corporation that is greedy).   To illustrate this point, consider a person who wants to travel from San Diego to Dallas.  They go on several websites to find the best deal and decide to go with Southwest Airlines because they have the lowest fare of all the airlines and they have the best record for getting people to their destinations on time.  Southwest is greedy and therefore sells the flight at a price they believe will maximize their profit margin. The customer is greedy because they took the lowest fare and wanted to insure they didn't waste their time at the airport (time is money too).  They greedily want to hold on to as much of their money from each purchase so they can use it to buy other things or invest it turn earn more. In an effort to "spread the wealth around" (as our President is so fond of), the customer could have listed the airlines alphabetically and just go through the list one by one each time he wants to travel.  After all I am sure that Delta Airlines has workers that work hard too and I should spread my money around to all the airlines to be fair.  But that is not how the world works!

Capitalism works WITH our makeup as humans and not against it.  It doesn't need to be forced or coerced.  It just happens naturally if given the opportunity.   That is what this great country of ours did a little over 200 years ago.  It provided the environment to "pursue happiness" and people from all over the world have migrated here to do just that.  Just like geese flying south for the winter because their DNA has told them that is what they must do, so also people from all over the world, driven by their basic instincts, have come here to fulfill their destiny. 

This is why capitalism will always succeed and other methods like socialism and communism will always fail.

Monday, June 18, 2012

Go EAST Young Man! Go EAST!

Recently 2 of my sons best friends have let him know that they are moving out to North Dakota to work in the oil fields.  Fed up with the lack of work available here in California, the mantra is no longer "Go West Young Man! Go West!", but now has become "Go to North Dakota!".   I wish them all well.  Someday they will be telling their grandchildren what brought them out there, and unlike their forefathers it won't be "gold" or "the warm weather" or "the beaches", but instead the answer will be simply: "work".

North Dakota has tapped into its natural resources and is doing so well it is considering the unthinkable, ending property taxes.  North Dakota also is becoming the new "Silicon Prairie" since software and help-desks can be developed anywhere.  For those who are willing to work and live simply its the best of all worlds.  Sure your 2000 miles from the nearest ocean beach, but here you can afford a house and know that your children will be well taken care of.

To me North Dakota is leading the new state revolution and hopefully it catches on.

The "pick-and-choose" president

Dear President Obama,

     Recent Mr. President you came out and stated that you will not be deporting illegal-immigrants who came here as youths as long as they do not break the law (which their parents did in coming here).  You plan to do this by not by enacting a law but instead by NOT-enforcing laws that are already on the books.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q0LpE0gmaRs

    Yet you yourself said the following just over a year ago when asked why he could not just issue an executive order.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=J9isifcg9ik

    So which is it Mr President?   Can you or can't you ignore laws passed by Congress from being enforced?  You say that your job is to enforce the laws that you do not have the legal footing to just ignore them. (I am glad to see you were paying attention in your high school civics class).   Did you undergo another "evolution" ? 

    It is this same reason that our Congress and business leaders are at a standstill. They cannot predict what you as president will do (or not do).   Will you one day say we should keep the Bush tax cuts and the next week push for the opposite?  Will you call for reducing regulation one month and then later reverse direction and increase regulation?   Will the President enforce the laws we pass through Congress?  What good is it to pass laws and then have them disregarded? 

    No Mr. President, you do not have the power to "pick-and-choose" which laws you will enforce and which ones you will outright ignore.  That power was never given to you in the Constitution, for by doing so, you are not overriding the will of Congress, but instead you are overriding the will of the people who put those people into Congress.  Those laws are not Congress' laws!  They are OUR LAWS Mr. President!   If "WE THE PEOPLE" want to change those laws then we must go through Congress to make those changes.  That is the process we have agreed to and you do not have the ability to disregard that process.

   Finally Mr. President, you mentioned that the Dream Act got only 55 votes in the Senate but was blocked by Republicans.  But in fact during this time, Democrats had a super majority (60 votes) in the Senate so therefore the Republicans could have all gone on vacation and the bill still would not have passed.  It was not Republicans blocking the bill Mr. President.  It was your own party!


Friday, June 15, 2012

Bankruptcy is good

I often refer to capitalism as "economic evolution".  I think its a very fitting and descriptive label that gets the point across about how it works.  Like biological evolution, death is as important as life.  To illustrate my point, imagine what the world was like shortly after the meteorite hit the earth and wiped out the dinosaurs.  The earth was covered with the corpses of these gigantic beasts that once looked so indestructible. From underneath the earth appear these small creatures (rats) which are warm blooded and because of their ability to hide and breath cooler air that was close to the ground they were able to live and though much had been destroyed, they were able to live off the dead corpses of the dinosaurs.  Thus the death of one creature became the building blocks of a new creature and because of this process, WE later arrived.   We would not be here if the dinosaurs had lived on.

Capitalism is much the same way.  Old companies that once were indestructible are destroyed by downturns in the economy.  Unable to move fast enough and adapt, they are often the first to go.  But from out of the shadows come NEW companies, hungry to try their ideas.  They are able to cannibalize the left overs from the now bankrupt companies, thus obtaining needed equipment and employees who are fully trained.   These new companies are stronger than the the old giants.  Mostly because these companies are not plagued by old methods and strategies that don't work anymore.  Having worked in the tech industry I can tell you that companies internally do not "evolve" but instead they grow appendages and develop into amorphous blobs because no one wants to clean up and remove old systems.  Instead they just keep adding on more and more overtime and later resemble the "Winchester Mystery House" with its many unnecessary rooms and doors that go no where.

But bankruptcy cleans all of this up if we let it.  Gone are the old ideas and systems.  Left behind are the building blocks for a new company.

To illustrate this, think of Southwest Airlines. This new upstart in the 80's needed to expand but hiring and buying aircraft can take time, so instead they purchased a dying airline called Muse Air (bet you never heard of them either).  The death of this airline became new parts of Southwest and in the end BOTH were served.  The investors of Muse Air were rewarded when Southwest bought their stock.  The employees of Muse Air benefited with new employment and of course the people of America were given more and less expensive options to move around the country.  Without bankruptcy, none of this would have happened and Southwest may have been relegated to the business-bone-heap.

Today, however, bankruptcy is a dirty word.  Often synonymous with words like failure, our government thinking that its doing us a favor is preventing this from occurring.  They claim they "saved GM", but instead they just delayed their demise for a few more years and made us a weaker economy in the process because GM never had  the chance to clean shop and sell off its parts to other entrepreneurs with better ideas.

Now just imagine if we had a time-machine that allowed us to go back and "Save the Dinosaurs!".  We could go back and save a select few dinosaurs such as the Brachiosaurus or the Tyrannosaurus.  What would have happened??  Most likely, we would not be here today.  Instead, the planet would most likely still be inhabited by large dangerous creatures with brains the size of a walnut.

Bankruptcy, like death, is difficult to watch.  We see people weep at funerals and also at company closings. But we must understand that just as life is impossible without death, for we all eat decayed matter (plants and animals) that is the byproduct of death.  So also, a good economy and good businesses are all the product of failed economies and businesses as well.  You cannot have one without the other.

 

Wednesday, June 6, 2012

Where Community Organizer came from...

Until 2008 most of us had never heard of this term.  Oddly enough most in the media never asked what it meant.  Here is where I THINK they got it from.

First,  they wrote down Obama's job as:

COMMUNIST ORGANIZER

Take out the S ... and add a Y and you get...

COMMUNISTY ORGANIZER

or

COMMUNITY ORGANIZER

Ta da!